Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.000115 0.000127 0.000139 0.000153 0.000169 0.000186 0.000206
2025-12-21 0.000090 0.000106 0.000125 0.000148 0.000176 0.000209 0.000250
2025-12-28 0.000077 0.000096 0.000119 0.000149 0.000187 0.000236 0.000302
2026-01-04 0.000068 0.000089 0.000114 0.000150 0.000198 0.000262 0.000353
2026-01-11 0.000061 0.000081 0.000109 0.000148 0.000203 0.000280 0.000396
2026-01-18 0.000055 0.000076 0.000105 0.000148 0.000212 0.000303 0.000448
2026-01-25 0.000050 0.000071 0.000101 0.000146 0.000216 0.000319 0.000491
2026-02-01 0.000046 0.000067 0.000098 0.000146 0.000222 0.000340 0.000541
2026-02-08 0.000042 0.000063 0.000094 0.000143 0.000224 0.000354 0.000583
2026-02-15 0.000039 0.000059 0.000090 0.000140 0.000225 0.000365 0.000622
2026-02-22 0.000037 0.000057 0.000088 0.000142 0.000233 0.000389 0.000684
2026-03-01 0.000035 0.000056 0.000088 0.000144 0.000244 0.000418 0.000761
2026-03-08 0.000033 0.000052 0.000084 0.000142 0.000245 0.000432 0.000812
2026-03-15 0.000030 0.000049 0.000080 0.000136 0.000242 0.000437 0.000847
2026-03-22 0.000028 0.000047 0.000078 0.000137 0.000249 0.000463 0.000928
2026-03-29 0.000027 0.000045 0.000077 0.000138 0.000257 0.000492 0.001018
2026-04-05 0.000025 0.000043 0.000075 0.000136 0.000260 0.000508 0.001084
2026-04-12 0.000024 0.000042 0.000073 0.000137 0.000267 0.000536 0.001180
2026-04-19 0.000022 0.000040 0.000071 0.000135 0.000268 0.000552 0.001250
2026-04-26 0.000021 0.000038 0.000070 0.000135 0.000274 0.000576 0.001345
2026-05-03 0.000020 0.000037 0.000067 0.000132 0.000274 0.000590 0.001415
2026-05-10 0.000019 0.000035 0.000065 0.000129 0.000273 0.000600 0.001478
2026-05-17 0.000018 0.000034 0.000064 0.000131 0.000281 0.000633 0.001604